Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.011534 0.014019 0.017158 0.021515 0.027581 0.036011 0.049183
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.008051 0.010578 0.014166 0.019913 0.029500 0.046264 0.082096
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.006392 0.008797 0.012468 0.018924 0.031173 0.056841 0.130069
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.005488 0.007833 0.011627 0.018845 0.034205 0.072625 0.225231
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004939 0.007281 0.011270 0.019438 0.038914 0.097937 0.460597
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.004450 0.006723 0.010755 0.019515 0.042520 0.125902 0.985108
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003956 0.006075 0.009937 0.018676 0.043267 0.145672 1.918930
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003603 0.005623 0.009404 0.018320 0.045298 0.176737 5.278816
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003432 0.005469 0.009423 0.019289 0.052410 0.259277 118.688358
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003331 0.005431 0.009667 0.020925 0.063674 0.439058 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003234 0.005382 0.009878 0.022575 0.077259 0.808506 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003043 0.005126 0.009577 0.022617 0.083427 1.201492 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002814 0.004795 0.009116 0.022233 0.088558 1.878571 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002540 0.004347 0.008321 0.020553 0.084468 2.145228 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002333 0.004018 0.007763 0.019521 0.083915 2.842168 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002197 0.003822 0.007500 0.019437 0.090346 5.631003 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002107 0.003714 0.007437 0.020057 0.103961 22.940685 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002004 0.003565 0.007246 0.020138 0.113793 170.546127 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001874 0.003346 0.006844 0.019261 0.112975 967.902299 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001775 0.003189 0.006583 0.018889 0.117543 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001732 0.003153 0.006644 0.019902 0.142149 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001712 0.003164 0.006836 0.021612 0.186242 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001689 0.003166 0.007004 0.023338 0.246076 NaN NaN